
Ford Motor Company
- What it sells
- Revenues from sales and services is 93% of revenue (fiscal year to Dec 2025), down from 94% two years earlier.
- Growing?
- No: revenue down 2% on a year earlier (quarter ended Sep 2026).
- Expensive?
- Price-to-sales (P/S) 0.3×. Below the peer median of 2.9x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.
- Analysts?
- 40% of 20 say buy; average 12-month target $15.14, 27% above today's price.
- Risky?
- Swingier than most large companies: its price swung 36% over the past year (the S&P 500's 14%), and it fell as much as 66% since Nov 2021.
Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services Ford and Lincoln vehicles, with revenue primarily from vehicle wholesales, parts & service, and connected/other services, complemented by auto financing through Ford Credit.
More about Ford Motor Company
The company reports major automotive operations across Ford Blue (ICE/hybrids), Ford Model e (EVs/software), and Ford Pro (commercial vehicles and services), plus Ford Credit financial services.
Market Position
Ford is a leading U.S. full-line automaker with strong positions in pickups, commercial vans, and fleet/commercial offerings via Ford Pro, competing primarily with General Motors, Stellantis and import OEMs, while its EV offerings (e.g., Mustang Mach‑E, F‑150 Lightning) compete with Tesla and other OEM EV lineups. Differentiators include scale manufacturing, a large dealer/service network, and an integrated commercial ecosystem (vehicles + software/telematics + service + financing) under Ford Pro.
Key Segments
Ford Blue (ICE/hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (EVs and related digital/software activities), Ford Pro (commercial vehicles, services, and software), and Ford Credit (wholesale/retail financing and leasing) are the company’s principal reportable segments.
How has the stock done?
Over the past month F fell 0.8%; the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) rose 7.3% and the S&P 500 fell 2.7%.
Over the past six months F fell 0.8%; the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) rose 1.8% and the S&P 500 rose 2.6%.
Over the past year F fell 11.5%; the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) rose 1.3% and the S&P 500 rose 10.8%.
Over five years F fell 39.0%; the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) rose 18.2% and the S&P 500 rose 62.0%.
From Jan 14, 2022 to Apr 8, 2025, the deepest drop from a high since Nov 2021
How much the price swings in a year; the S&P 500's was 14%
When the S&P 500 moves 1%, the stock has moved about 1.0% the same way
Show the earnings releases
| Released | Quarter | Revenue | EPS vs estimate | Stock, day after | 5 days after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | ended Sep 2026 | $49.5B (−2% vs a year earlier) | $0.49 vs $0.40 (beat) | +5.6% | +8.2% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | ended Jun 2026 | $48.3B (−4% vs a year earlier) | $0.42 vs $0.35 (beat) | +4.1% | −3.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ended Mar 2026 | $43.3B (+6% vs a year earlier) | $0.66 vs $0.19 (beat) | −2.6% | −1.9% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | ended Dec 2025 | $45.9B (−5% vs a year earlier) | $0.13 vs $0.19 (missed) | +1.9% | +1.9% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | ended Sep 2025 | $50.5B (+9% vs a year earlier) | — | +11.3% | +5.1% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | ended Jun 2025 | $50.2B (+5% vs a year earlier) | — | −0.1% | +1.2% |
| May 5, 2025 | ended Mar 2025 | $40.7B (−5% vs a year earlier) | — | +1.6% | +2.6% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ended Dec 2024 | $48.2B (+5% vs a year earlier) | — | −8.9% | −9.2% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | ended Sep 2024 | $46.2B (+5% vs a year earlier) | — | −6.0% | −6.4% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | ended Jun 2024 | $47.8B (+6% vs a year earlier) | — | −19.3% | −21.8% |
| Apr 24, 2024 | ended Mar 2024 | $42.8B (+3% vs a year earlier) | — | +0.8% | −5.7% |
| Feb 6, 2024 | ended Dec 2023 | $46.0B (+4% vs a year earlier) | — | +10.4% | +9.4% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | ended Sep 2023 | $43.8B (+11% vs a year earlier) | — | −13.7% | −12.1% |
| Jul 27, 2023 | ended Jun 2023 | $45.0B (+12% vs a year earlier) | — | −3.0% | −4.2% |
| May 2, 2023 | ended Mar 2023 | $41.5B (+20% vs a year earlier) | — | −2.2% | −1.7% |
| Feb 2, 2023 | ended Dec 2022 | $44.0B (+17% vs a year earlier) | — | −4.1% | −2.2% |
| Oct 26, 2022 | ended Sep 2022 | $39.4B (+10% vs a year earlier) | — | +1.3% | +1.8% |
| Jul 27, 2022 | ended Jun 2022 | $40.2B (+50% vs a year earlier) | — | +11.6% | +25.1% |
| Apr 27, 2022 | ended Mar 2022 | $34.5B (−5% vs a year earlier) | — | −0.6% | +1.8% |
| Feb 3, 2022 | ended Dec 2021 | $37.7B (+5% vs a year earlier) | — | −12.9% | −12.4% |
Change in closing price from the first day shown, or with Price the closing price itself. Prices: Yahoo Finance, to Nov 12, 2026. Dashed lines: the days the company released earnings (its SEC 8-K filings); EPS estimates: Yahoo Finance. The stock's move after a release runs from the last close before its day to the close the day after (or five days after), so a release before the open counts like one after the close.
Is the business growing?
Revenue was $49.5B in the quarter ended Sep 2026, down 2% from a year earlier.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Revenue | vs a year earlier |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | $44.0B | +17% |
| Mar 2023 | $41.5B | +20% |
| Jun 2023 | $45.0B | +12% |
| Sep 2023 | $43.8B | +11% |
| Dec 2023 | $46.0B | +4% |
| Mar 2024 | $42.8B | +3% |
| Jun 2024 | $47.8B | +6% |
| Sep 2024 | $46.2B | +5% |
| Dec 2024 | $48.2B | +5% |
| Mar 2025 | $40.7B | −5% |
| Jun 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Sep 2025 | $50.5B | +9% |
| Dec 2025 | $45.9B | −5% |
| Mar 2026 | $43.3B | +6% |
| Jun 2026 | $48.3B | −4% |
| Sep 2026 | $49.5B | −2% |
Revenue went from $158.1B in FY22 to $187.3B in FY25; net income from −$2.0B to −$8.2B.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| FY22 | $158.1B | −$2.0B |
| FY23 | $176.2B | $4.3B |
| FY24 | $185.0B | $5.9B |
| FY25 | $187.3B | −$8.2B |
In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, Vehicles, parts, and accessories was 89% and Financing income was 4% of revenue; Vehicles, parts, and accessories fell from 91% in the fiscal year to Dec 2023.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | Vehicles, parts, and accessories | $161.1B | 91% |
| FY2023 | Financing income | $6.0B | 3% |
| FY2023 | Leasing income | $4.3B | 2% |
| FY2023 | Services and other revenue | $2.9B | 2% |
| FY2023 | Used vehicles | $1.9B | 1% |
| FY2023 | Insurance income | $100M | 0.1% |
| FY2024 | Vehicles, parts, and accessories | $167.2B | 90% |
| FY2024 | Financing income | $7.8B | 4% |
| FY2024 | Leasing income | $4.4B | 2% |
| FY2024 | Services and other revenue | $3.2B | 2% |
| FY2024 | Used vehicles | $2.2B | 1% |
| FY2024 | Insurance income | $146M | 0.1% |
| FY2025 | Vehicles, parts, and accessories | $167.3B | 89% |
| FY2025 | Financing income | $8.2B | 4% |
| FY2025 | Leasing income | $5.1B | 3% |
| FY2025 | Services and other revenue | $3.6B | 2% |
| FY2025 | Used vehicles | $2.9B | 2% |
| FY2025 | Insurance income | $164M | 0.1% |
In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, United States was 65% and All Other was 19% of revenue.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | United States | $117.0B | 66% |
| FY2023 | All Other | $34.1B | 19% |
| FY2023 | Canada | $13.4B | 8% |
| FY2023 | United Kingdom | $9.0B | 5% |
| FY2023 | Mexico | $2.8B | 2% |
| FY2024 | United States | $125.0B | 68% |
| FY2024 | All Other | $34.0B | 18% |
| FY2024 | Canada | $13.4B | 7% |
| FY2024 | United Kingdom | $9.9B | 5% |
| FY2024 | Mexico | $2.6B | 1% |
| FY2025 | United States | $122.6B | 65% |
| FY2025 | All Other | $35.4B | 19% |
| FY2025 | Canada | $14.5B | 8% |
| FY2025 | United Kingdom | $12.3B | 7% |
| FY2025 | Mexico | $2.5B | 1% |
A year earlier $0.60
Diluted, from SEC filings
Quarters: Ford Motor Company's SEC filings, named by the month they end. Fiscal years: Ford Motor Company's annual reports to the SEC.
How it makes money
The company loses $4.4 for every $100 of revenue. Operating expenses exceed all of gross profit.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Gross | Operating | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | 14.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Mar 2023 | 16.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Jun 2023 | 16.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Sep 2023 | 14.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Dec 2023 | 11.1% | −0.5% | −1.1% |
| Mar 2024 | 14.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Jun 2024 | 15.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Sep 2024 | 13.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Dec 2024 | 14.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% |
| Mar 2025 | 13.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Jun 2025 | 11.8% | 1.0% | −0.1% |
| Sep 2025 | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% |
| Dec 2025 | −12.5% | −25.2% | −24.1% |
| Mar 2026 | 18.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Jun 2026 | 12.6% | 1.3% | −2.7% |
| Sep 2026 | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% |
−10.0 pts over 3 years
−8.9 pts over 3 years
−3.1 pts over 3 years
Each margin is that line of the income statement divided by revenue. Fiscal year: Ford Motor Company's annual reports to the SEC; quarters: SEC filings.
Is inventory piling up?
Ford Motor Company held $16.2B of inventory at the end of Sep 2026, down 1.7% from a year earlier, while its revenue for the quarter fell 2.0% against the same quarter a year earlier. Inventory kept pace with sales. At the last four quarters' cost of sales, the inventory would last 35 days, against 37 a year earlier.
At the end of Sep 2026, −1.7% on a year earlier
Quarter ended Sep 2026
37 a year earlier
A line beyond the scale runs off it; the legend gives its latest value.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Inventory | vs a year earlier | Revenue vs a year earlier | Inventory days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2023 | $15.7B | +11.2% | +4.5% | 38 |
| Mar 2024 | $18.6B | +14.9% | +3.1% | 45 |
| Jun 2024 | $17.2B | −2.9% | +6.3% | 40 |
| Sep 2024 | $18.0B | −1.6% | +5.5% | 42 |
| Dec 2024 | $15.0B | −4.5% | +4.9% | 34 |
| Mar 2025 | $17.9B | −4.0% | −5.0% | 42 |
| Jun 2025 | $17.3B | +0.5% | +5.0% | 39 |
| Sep 2025 | $16.5B | −8.4% | +9.4% | 37 |
| Dec 2025 | $15.3B | +2.2% | −4.8% | 32 |
| Mar 2026 | $16.5B | −7.6% | +6.4% | 35 |
| Jun 2026 | $16.9B | −1.9% | −3.8% | 36 |
| Sep 2026 | $16.2B | −1.7% | −2.0% | 35 |
From Ford Motor Company's SEC filings: inventory at each quarter end, against the same quarter end a year earlier, and the quarter's revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Inventory days: inventory over the cost of sales of the four quarters to that date, times 365. Gross margin: gross profit over revenue, by quarter.
Customers and suppliers
In its latest annual report Ford Motor Company buys from Novelis, Ford Otosan.
Their suppliers
Suppliers
Customers
Partners
Changes since the previous annual report (10-K filed Feb 6, 2025)
Show the filing's words
| Company | Role | In the filing's words |
|---|---|---|
| Novelis | supplier | “Novelis is a major aluminum supplier to Ford, and since the initial fire occurred, we have been working closely with Novelis to address the situation and exploring potential alternative sources of aluminum.” |
| Diesel Song Cong One Member Limited Liability Company | partner · joint venture with it | “•Ford Vietnam Limited — a joint venture between Ford (75%) and Diesel Song Cong One Member Limited Liability Company (a subsidiary of the Vietnam Engine and Agricultural Machinery Corporation, which, in turn, is majority owned (87.43%) by the State of Vietnam represented by the Ministry of Industry and Trade) (25%).” |
| AAT | partner · joint venture with it | “•AutoAlliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (“AAT”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Mazda that owns and operates a manufacturing plant in Rayong, Thailand. AAT produces Ford and Mazda products for domestic and export sales.” |
| Mazda | partner · joint venture with it | “•AutoAlliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (“AAT”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Mazda that owns and operates a manufacturing plant in Rayong, Thailand.” |
| BOSK | partner · joint venture with it | “•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.” |
| SK On | partner · joint venture with it | “•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.” |
| SKBA | partner · joint venture with it | “•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.” |
| CAF | partner · joint venture with it | “•Changan Ford Automobile Corporation, Ltd. (“CAF”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd. (“Changan”). CAF operates four assembly plants, an engine plant, and a transmission plant in China where it produces and distributes a variety of Ford and Lincoln brand passenger vehicle models.” |
| Changan | partner · joint venture with it | “•Changan Ford Automobile Corporation, Ltd. (“CAF”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd. (“Changan”).” |
| Ford Otosan | partner · joint venture with it | “•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.” |
| Ford Otosan | supplier | “•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.” |
| Koc Group | partner · joint venture with it | “•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.” |
| JMC | partner · joint venture with it | “•JMC — a publicly-traded company in China with Ford (32%) and Nanchang Jiangling Investment Co., Ltd. (41%) as its controlling shareholders.” |
| Nanchang Jiangling Investment | partner · joint venture with it | “•JMC — a publicly-traded company in China with Ford (32%) and Nanchang Jiangling Investment Co., Ltd. (41%) as its controlling shareholders.” |
| Ionity | partner · Ford Motor Company invested in it | “Ionity Holding GmbH & Co. KG 114 117 15” |
| RouteOne | partner · Ford Motor Company invested in it | “RouteOne, LLC 50 56 30” |
| Ballard Power Systems (40-F filed Mar 12, 2026) | joint venture with it | “1. Ballard holds 100% of the non-voting, participating shares of BDF IP Holdings Ltd. and 34% of the voting, non-participating shares, along with each of Mercedes-Benz AG (33%) and Ford Motor Company (33%).” |
| Berkshire Hathaway (10-K filed Mar 2, 2026) | calls it a supplier | “BHA maintains franchise agreements with 26 different vehicle manufacturers, although it derives a significant portion of its revenue from the Toyota/Lexus, General Motors, Ford/Lincoln, Nissan/Infiniti and Honda/Acura brands.” |
Only the companies Ford Motor Company names in its 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 (SEC). Named in other companies' filings: those whose own latest annual report or an 8-K since names Ford Motor Company. The supply chain joins the latest annual reports of the companies on it and the 8-Ks they filed since: a link shows when either side's report names the other, so it grows as more reports are read. Hover a name for the filing's own words.
Is it expensive?
Currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply, so we look at price-to-sales instead: 0.3x, below the peer median of 2.9x. Revenue is down 2% from a year ago.
Below the peer median of 2.9x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.
Show the data
| Company | Price-to-sales (P/S) |
|---|---|
| TSLA · Tesla, Inc. | 15.2× |
| RIVN · Rivian Automotive, Inc. | 2.9× |
| GM · General Motors Company | 0.4× |
| F · Ford Motor Company | 0.3× |
| CYD · China Yuchai International Limited | — |
Ford Motor Company is currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply. We use price-to-sales instead: market cap as a multiple of revenue.
What analysts expect
The average analyst price target is $15.14, 27% above the current price; 40% of 20 analysts rate it a buy; earnings beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Buy or Strong Buy: 8 analysts (40%). Sell or Strong Sell: 0.
Over the past year the average of the analysts' latest price targets went from $12.22 to $15.19 (+24%), while F went from $13.28 to $11.90 (−10%). In the past three months targets were cut 7 times and never raised. 4 upgrades and no downgrades over the year; the latest: Citigroup moved it to Buy from Neutral on Jul 29, 2026.
Show every change
| Date | Firm | Change | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target cut | Sector Perform | $14.00, was $15.00 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Target cut | Neutral | $13.00, was $13.50 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target cut | Equal-Weight | $13.00, was $14.00 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Target cut | Neutral | $12.00, was $14.00 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target cut | Overweight | $16.00, was $17.00 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | UBS | Target cut | Buy | $15.00, was $17.00 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Target cut | Neutral | $14.00, was $16.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Target raised | Neutral | $14.50, was $14.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy, was Neutral | $20.00, was $19.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $17.00, was $16.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Hold | $15.00, was $13.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Target raised | Overweight | $17.00, was $16.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Sector Perform | $15.00, was $13.00 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy, was Hold | $17.50, was $14.50 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $16.00, was $15.00 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Target raised | Neutral | $14.00, was $13.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $14.00, was $13.00 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Underweight | $11.00, was $10.00 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $17.00, was $14.00 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $19.00, was $13.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $20.00, was $17.00 |
| May 15, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target kept | Sector Perform | $13.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target kept | Equal-Weight | $14.00 |
| May 4, 2026 | Citigroup | Target cut | Neutral | $13.00, was $13.50 |
| May 1, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target cut | Hold | $13.00, was $14.00 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | UBS | Target cut | Buy | $14.00, was $15.00 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Sector Perform | $13.00, was $11.00 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target cut | Hold | $14.00, was $15.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Target cut | Neutral | $13.00, was $15.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy, was Neutral | $15.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target cut | Underweight | $10.00, was $11.00 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target kept | Sector Perform | $12.00 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $13.00, was $12.00 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $15.00, was $14.00 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $15.00, was $12.50 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Hold | $15.00, was $13.00 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HSBC | Target raised | Hold | $12.80, was $9.80 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Overweight, was Neutral | $16.00, was $11.00 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $14.00, was $12.00 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $14.00, was $11.00 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $12.00, was $10.00 |
Show the data
| Quarter | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec ’25 | $0.19 | $0.13 | −31.6% |
| Mar ’26 | $0.19 | $0.66 | +247.4% |
| Jun ’26 | $0.35 | $0.42 | +20.0% |
| Sep ’26 | $0.40 | $0.49 | +22.5% |
The day after each of these reports the stock moved +1.9% (Dec 2025, missed); −2.6% (Mar 2026, beat); +4.1% (Jun 2026, beat); +5.6% (Sep 2026, beat).
For the quarter ending Dec 2026, analysts expect adjusted earnings of $0.35 a share, 170% more than the $0.13 of a year earlier, and revenue of $45.7B, down 0.4% on a year earlier. For the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, they expect adjusted earnings of $1.89 a share.
Adjusted. Dec 2025: $0.13; range $0.32 to $0.40; 11 analysts
Dec 2025: $45.9B; range $43.2B to $46.9B; 5 analysts
Adjusted. The year to Dec 2026: $1.90 expected, with a quarter far from its estimate; range $1.74 to $2.07; 19 analysts
Show the data
| Period | Figure | Expected | Low to high | Analysts | A year earlier | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter ending Dec 2026 | EPS (adjusted) | $0.35 | $0.32 to $0.40 | 11 | $0.13 (Dec 2025) | +170% |
| Quarter ending Dec 2026 | Revenue | $45.7B | $43.2B to $46.9B | 5 | $45.9B (Dec 2025) | 0% |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | $0.42 | $0.34 to $0.50 | 6 | $0.66 (Mar 2026) | — |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | Revenue | $42.1B | $40.4B to $44.8B | 4 | $43.3B (Mar 2026) | −3% |
| Year ending Dec 2026 | EPS (adjusted) | $1.90 | $1.79 to $1.95 | 17 | — | — |
| Year ending Dec 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | $1.89 | $1.74 to $2.07 | 19 | $1.90 (expected, year to Dec 2026) | — |
Targets, ratings and earnings estimates: Yahoo Finance. Rating and target changes: Yahoo Finance's list of upgrades and downgrades. The average target on each day is the average of every listed firm's latest target set in the 180 days before it, so it counts fewer analysts than the average target above, and the band is the middle half of those targets (a quarter of the firms are above it, a quarter below); a target set before a stock split is divided by the split. Expected figures: the average of the analysts' estimates (Yahoo Finance). Their EPS is adjusted, as analysts estimate it, so it is set against the adjusted EPS Yahoo reports for the same quarters, not the GAAP EPS of the growth and valuation sections; revenue against the SEC filings. No change is given against a quarter whose reported EPS was more than 50% off its own estimate (often a one-off gain or charge), nor against a year that counts one. Each estimate is pinned to its fiscal period by the report date or the period's end, and one that cannot be is left out.
Where the cash goes
Generated $5.2B in free cash flow over the year, of which $2.7B went back to shareholders (dividends plus buybacks), leaving $2.4B in the company.
Show the data
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Op. cash flow | $15.0B |
| Capex | −$9.8B |
| Free cash flow | $5.2B |
| Dividends | −$2.4B |
| Buybacks | −$320M |
| Cash retained | $2.4B |
For every $100 of market cap, the company generates about $10.8 in free cash flow a year.
For every $100 of market cap, you receive about $5.0 in dividends a year.
Dividends plus buybacks over the last four quarters: for every $100 of market cap, about $5.7 went back to shareholders.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Free cash flow | Dividends | Buybacks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2023 | $197M | $601M | $335M |
| Mar 2024 | −$709M | $1.3B | $0 |
| Jun 2024 | $3.4B | $599M | $244M |
| Sep 2024 | $3.5B | $597M | $32M |
| Dec 2024 | $530M | $596M | $150M |
| Mar 2025 | $1.9B | $1.2B | $0 |
| Jun 2025 | $4.2B | $597M | $0 |
| Sep 2025 | $5.3B | $597M | $0 |
| Dec 2025 | $1.1B | $599M | $0 |
| Mar 2026 | −$1.1B | $607M | $311M |
| Jun 2026 | $2.0B | $599M | $0 |
| Sep 2026 | $3.1B | $598M | $0 |
Ford Motor Company had 4.08B diluted shares in the quarter ended Sep 2026, 0.7% more than a year earlier, and 0.3% more each year on average since Jun 2020. It spent $311M on buybacks over the last four quarters.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Diluted shares |
|---|---|
| Jun 2020 | 3.99B |
| Sep 2020 | 4.00B |
| Mar 2021 | 4.02B |
| Jun 2021 | 4.03B |
| Sep 2021 | 4.04B |
| Mar 2022 | 4.01B |
| Jun 2022 | 4.05B |
| Sep 2022 | 4.02B |
| Mar 2023 | 4.03B |
| Jun 2023 | 4.04B |
| Sep 2023 | 4.05B |
| Mar 2024 | 4.02B |
| Jun 2024 | 4.02B |
| Sep 2024 | 4.02B |
| Mar 2025 | 4.01B |
| Jun 2025 | 3.98B |
| Sep 2025 | 4.05B |
| Mar 2026 | 4.07B |
| Jun 2026 | 3.99B |
| Sep 2026 | 4.08B |
Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capital spending on property, plant and equipment, from SEC filings, for the last 4 quarters and by quarter. Shares: each quarter's diluted weighted average as filed with the SEC, since the stock's listing and its latest split.
Financial health
Current ratio 1.1, short-term debt is manageable; shareholder equity is only 12% of assets, so debt-to-equity (4.5) says little; net debt is 8.3 years of operating cash flow, which is heavy.
Assets that can be turned into cash soon are 1.1x what is owed within a year. 1.5 or higher is comfortable; below 1 needs watching.
Shareholder funds are only 12% of assets, so $4.5 of debt per $1 of them says little about whether the debt can be carried. The years of operating cash flow it would take to repay it say more.
Cash and short-term investments of $38.5B against debt of $163.3B. Lease obligations of $2.4B are not counted: they are rent owed, not money borrowed. It also holds $2.8B of long-term investments, which can be stakes in other companies rather than cash.
Net debt of $124.8B is 8.3 years of the $15.0B its operations brought in over the last four quarters. Under 1 year is light; over 3 is heavy.
Latest fiscal year balance sheet. Source: Yahoo Finance.
What did the funds Hunch tracks do?
Of the 83 funds whose 13F filings Hunch reads, 10 held F at the end of their latest quarter (for most, Q3 2026). Over that quarter 6 added shares, 3 cut and 1 bought new. The largest of them is Norges Bank, 51.71M shares worth $719M at Jun 30, 2026, 0.6% more than at Dec 31, 2025.
1 of them new holders
Over their latest quarter
Show every fund
| Fund | Quarter | Shares | Value | Change in shares | Change | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norges Bank | Q2 2026 vs Q4 2025 | 51.71M | $719M | +302,332 | +0.6% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Swiss National Bank | Q3 2026 | 10.70M | $129M | −347,400 | −3.1% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| National Pension Service | Q3 2026 | 10.02M | $121M | +69,873 | +0.7% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | Q2 2026 | 5.56M | $77.2M | +798,954 | +17% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Mirae Asset Global Investments | Q3 2026 | 4.86M | $58.6M | +575,459 | +13% | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Korea Investment | Q2 2026 | 1.88M | $26.2M | −1.45M | −44% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Renaissance Technologies | Q3 2026 | 459,009 | $5.5M | +459,009 | New | Nov 12, 2026 |
| Nomura Holdings | Q2 2026 | 214,101 | $3.0M | +105,052 | +96% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Bridgewater Associates | Q2 2026 | 155,958 | $2.2M | −106,355 | −41% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Fisher Asset Management | Q3 2026 | 119,358 | $1.4M | +17,296 | +17% | Nov 6, 2026 |
From the 13F filings of the 83 funds Hunch tracks, not of every institution: each fund's shares of F at its latest quarter end against the quarter before, as filed (long positions only, options left out), the quarter before put on the latest quarter's share count across a split. A fund files 45 days after its quarter ends, so some have a newer quarter than others. Value is at the quarter end. Norges Bank filed its 13F for Q1 2026 confidentially, with no holdings made public, so its row compares Q2 2026 with Q4 2025.
Are insiders buying or selling?
Officers and directors bought $2.2M of F on the open market in the 12 months to Nov 12, 2026; none sold. The largest was William Clay Ford Jr (Executive Chair and Chair; director), who bought $1.9M in 1 purchase.
0 sales
3 purchases
Show every trade
| Date | Insider | Role | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | John L Thornton | Director | Buy | 10,600 | $14.05 | $149K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | William Clay Ford Jr | Executive Chair and Chair; director | Buy | 140,000 | $13.82 | $1.9M | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | John L Thornton | Director | Buy | 7,520 | $13.19 | $99K | Nov 18, 2025 |
From the Form 4s filed with the SEC about Ford Motor Company (93 in the 12 months): purchases (code P) and sales (code S) on the open market by its officers and directors, at the price each filing gives (often an average of the day's trades). A sale is a 10b5-1 sale when its filing says it was made under such a plan, set up in advance. Not counted: 145 other transactions (grants, option exercises, shares withheld for tax, gifts and other transfers).