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F · Automotive · Consumer Cyclical

Ford Motor Company

$11.90−2.9%Close 11/12
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What it sells
Revenues from sales and services is 93% of revenue (fiscal year to Dec 2025), down from 94% two years earlier.
Growing?
No: revenue down 2% on a year earlier (quarter ended Sep 2026).
Expensive?
Price-to-sales (P/S) 0.3×. Below the peer median of 2.9x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.
Analysts?
40% of 20 say buy; average 12-month target $15.14, 27% above today's price.
Risky?
Swingier than most large companies: its price swung 36% over the past year (the S&P 500's 14%), and it fell as much as 66% since Nov 2021.
Market cap$47.5B
Revenue (TTM)$187.0B
Net income (TTM)−$7.8B
P/E (trailing)—
52-week closing range$11 – $17
Forward P/E6.3x

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services Ford and Lincoln vehicles, with revenue primarily from vehicle wholesales, parts & service, and connected/other services, complemented by auto financing through Ford Credit.

More about Ford Motor Company

The company reports major automotive operations across Ford Blue (ICE/hybrids), Ford Model e (EVs/software), and Ford Pro (commercial vehicles and services), plus Ford Credit financial services.

Market Position

Ford is a leading U.S. full-line automaker with strong positions in pickups, commercial vans, and fleet/commercial offerings via Ford Pro, competing primarily with General Motors, Stellantis and import OEMs, while its EV offerings (e.g., Mustang Mach‑E, F‑150 Lightning) compete with Tesla and other OEM EV lineups. Differentiators include scale manufacturing, a large dealer/service network, and an integrated commercial ecosystem (vehicles + software/telematics + service + financing) under Ford Pro.

Key Segments

Ford Blue (ICE/hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (EVs and related digital/software activities), Ford Pro (commercial vehicles, services, and software), and Ford Credit (wholesale/retail financing and leasing) are the company’s principal reportable segments.

How has the stock done?

Over the past year F fell 11.5%; the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) rose 1.3% and the S&P 500 rose 10.8%.

F −11.5%Consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) +1.3%Earnings released
How much it movesRisk
Biggest fall
−66%

From Jan 14, 2022 to Apr 8, 2025, the deepest drop from a high since Nov 2021

Volatility, past year
36%

How much the price swings in a year; the S&P 500's was 14%

Beta, past year
1.03

When the S&P 500 moves 1%, the stock has moved about 1.0% the same way

Show the earnings releases
ReleasedQuarterRevenueEPS vs estimateStock, day after5 days after
Oct 28, 2026ended Sep 2026$49.5B (−2% vs a year earlier)$0.49 vs $0.40 (beat)+5.6%+8.2%
Jul 28, 2026ended Jun 2026$48.3B (−4% vs a year earlier)$0.42 vs $0.35 (beat)+4.1%−3.0%
Apr 29, 2026ended Mar 2026$43.3B (+6% vs a year earlier)$0.66 vs $0.19 (beat)−2.6%−1.9%
Feb 10, 2026ended Dec 2025$45.9B (−5% vs a year earlier)$0.13 vs $0.19 (missed)+1.9%+1.9%
Oct 23, 2025ended Sep 2025$50.5B (+9% vs a year earlier)—+11.3%+5.1%
Jul 30, 2025ended Jun 2025$50.2B (+5% vs a year earlier)—−0.1%+1.2%
May 5, 2025ended Mar 2025$40.7B (−5% vs a year earlier)—+1.6%+2.6%
Feb 5, 2025ended Dec 2024$48.2B (+5% vs a year earlier)—−8.9%−9.2%
Oct 28, 2024ended Sep 2024$46.2B (+5% vs a year earlier)—−6.0%−6.4%
Jul 24, 2024ended Jun 2024$47.8B (+6% vs a year earlier)—−19.3%−21.8%
Apr 24, 2024ended Mar 2024$42.8B (+3% vs a year earlier)—+0.8%−5.7%
Feb 6, 2024ended Dec 2023$46.0B (+4% vs a year earlier)—+10.4%+9.4%
Oct 26, 2023ended Sep 2023$43.8B (+11% vs a year earlier)—−13.7%−12.1%
Jul 27, 2023ended Jun 2023$45.0B (+12% vs a year earlier)—−3.0%−4.2%
May 2, 2023ended Mar 2023$41.5B (+20% vs a year earlier)—−2.2%−1.7%
Feb 2, 2023ended Dec 2022$44.0B (+17% vs a year earlier)—−4.1%−2.2%
Oct 26, 2022ended Sep 2022$39.4B (+10% vs a year earlier)—+1.3%+1.8%
Jul 27, 2022ended Jun 2022$40.2B (+50% vs a year earlier)—+11.6%+25.1%
Apr 27, 2022ended Mar 2022$34.5B (−5% vs a year earlier)—−0.6%+1.8%
Feb 3, 2022ended Dec 2021$37.7B (+5% vs a year earlier)—−12.9%−12.4%

Change in closing price from the first day shown, or with Price the closing price itself. Prices: Yahoo Finance, to Nov 12, 2026. Dashed lines: the days the company released earnings (its SEC 8-K filings); EPS estimates: Yahoo Finance. The stock's move after a release runs from the last close before its day to the close the day after (or five days after), so a release before the open counts like one after the close.

Is the business growing?

Revenue was $49.5B in the quarter ended Sep 2026, down 2% from a year earlier.

Revenue by quarter
Change from the same quarter a year earlier
Show the data
Quarter endedRevenuevs a year earlier
Dec 2022$44.0B+17%
Mar 2023$41.5B+20%
Jun 2023$45.0B+12%
Sep 2023$43.8B+11%
Dec 2023$46.0B+4%
Mar 2024$42.8B+3%
Jun 2024$47.8B+6%
Sep 2024$46.2B+5%
Dec 2024$48.2B+5%
Mar 2025$40.7B−5%
Jun 2025$50.2B+5%
Sep 2025$50.5B+9%
Dec 2025$45.9B−5%
Mar 2026$43.3B+6%
Jun 2026$48.3B−4%
Sep 2026$49.5B−2%
Revenue by productFiscal years, from Ford Motor Company's 10-K

In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, Vehicles, parts, and accessories was 89% and Financing income was 4% of revenue; Vehicles, parts, and accessories fell from 91% in the fiscal year to Dec 2023.

Vehicles, parts, and accessoriesFinancing incomeLeasing incomeServices and other revenueUsed vehiclesInsurance income
Show the data
Fiscal yearPartRevenueShare
FY2023Vehicles, parts, and accessories$161.1B91%
FY2023Financing income$6.0B3%
FY2023Leasing income$4.3B2%
FY2023Services and other revenue$2.9B2%
FY2023Used vehicles$1.9B1%
FY2023Insurance income$100M0.1%
FY2024Vehicles, parts, and accessories$167.2B90%
FY2024Financing income$7.8B4%
FY2024Leasing income$4.4B2%
FY2024Services and other revenue$3.2B2%
FY2024Used vehicles$2.2B1%
FY2024Insurance income$146M0.1%
FY2025Vehicles, parts, and accessories$167.3B89%
FY2025Financing income$8.2B4%
FY2025Leasing income$5.1B3%
FY2025Services and other revenue$3.6B2%
FY2025Used vehicles$2.9B2%
FY2025Insurance income$164M0.1%
Revenue by regionFiscal years, from Ford Motor Company's 10-K

In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, United States was 65% and All Other was 19% of revenue.

United StatesAll OtherCanadaUnited KingdomMexico
Show the data
Fiscal yearPartRevenueShare
FY2023United States$117.0B66%
FY2023All Other$34.1B19%
FY2023Canada$13.4B8%
FY2023United Kingdom$9.0B5%
FY2023Mexico$2.8B2%
FY2024United States$125.0B68%
FY2024All Other$34.0B18%
FY2024Canada$13.4B7%
FY2024United Kingdom$9.9B5%
FY2024Mexico$2.6B1%
FY2025United States$122.6B65%
FY2025All Other$35.4B19%
FY2025Canada$14.5B8%
FY2025United Kingdom$12.3B7%
FY2025Mexico$2.5B1%
Earnings per shareDiluted, GAAP
EPS, quarter ended Sep 2026
$0.50−17% on a year earlier

A year earlier $0.60

EPS, last four quarters
−$1.98

Diluted, from SEC filings

Quarters: Ford Motor Company's SEC filings, named by the month they end. Fiscal years: Ford Motor Company's annual reports to the SEC.

How it makes money

The company loses $4.4 for every $100 of revenue. Operating expenses exceed all of gross profit.

Where each $1 of revenue goesFiscal year ended 2025-12-31
Revenue
Total sales
$187.3B100%
Gross profit
Revenue minus direct costs
$1.7B0.9% of revenue
Cost of revenue
Direct cost of making or buying goods
$185.6B99.1% of revenue
Operating loss
Expenses above gross profit
−$9.2B−4.9% of revenue
Net loss
The bottom-line loss
−$8.2B−4.4% of revenue
Margins by quarter
Gross 14.9%Operating 2.9%Net 4.1%
Show the data
Quarter endedGrossOperatingNet
Dec 202214.1%3.5%2.9%
Mar 202316.4%5.1%4.2%
Jun 202316.6%5.5%4.3%
Sep 202314.3%2.6%2.7%
Dec 202311.1%−0.5%−1.1%
Mar 202414.7%2.9%3.1%
Jun 202415.3%3.9%3.8%
Sep 202413.0%1.9%1.9%
Dec 202414.3%2.6%3.8%
Mar 202513.5%0.8%1.2%
Jun 202511.8%1.0%−0.1%
Sep 202514.1%3.1%4.8%
Dec 2025−12.5%−25.2%−24.1%
Mar 202618.4%5.4%5.9%
Jun 202612.6%1.3%−2.7%
Sep 202614.9%2.9%4.1%
Gross margin, fiscal year
0.9%

−10.0 pts over 3 years

Operating margin, fiscal year
−4.9%

−8.9 pts over 3 years

Net margin, fiscal year
−4.4%

−3.1 pts over 3 years

Each margin is that line of the income statement divided by revenue. Fiscal year: Ford Motor Company's annual reports to the SEC; quarters: SEC filings.

Is inventory piling up?

Ford Motor Company held $16.2B of inventory at the end of Sep 2026, down 1.7% from a year earlier, while its revenue for the quarter fell 2.0% against the same quarter a year earlier. Inventory kept pace with sales. At the last four quarters' cost of sales, the inventory would last 35 days, against 37 a year earlier.

Inventory
$16.2B

At the end of Sep 2026, −1.7% on a year earlier

Revenue against a year earlier
−2.0%

Quarter ended Sep 2026

Inventory days
35

37 a year earlier

Inventory against revenue, change from a year earlierBy quarter
Inventory −1.7%Revenue −2.0%
Inventory days over five years, with Tesla and Rivian Automotive
Ford Motor Company 35 daysTesla 62 daysRivian Automotive 110 days

A line beyond the scale runs off it; the legend gives its latest value.

Gross margin over five years, with Tesla and Rivian Automotive
Ford Motor Company 14.9%Tesla 19.6%Rivian Automotive 8.2%
Show the data
Quarter endedInventoryvs a year earlierRevenue vs a year earlierInventory days
Dec 2023$15.7B+11.2%+4.5%38
Mar 2024$18.6B+14.9%+3.1%45
Jun 2024$17.2B−2.9%+6.3%40
Sep 2024$18.0B−1.6%+5.5%42
Dec 2024$15.0B−4.5%+4.9%34
Mar 2025$17.9B−4.0%−5.0%42
Jun 2025$17.3B+0.5%+5.0%39
Sep 2025$16.5B−8.4%+9.4%37
Dec 2025$15.3B+2.2%−4.8%32
Mar 2026$16.5B−7.6%+6.4%35
Jun 2026$16.9B−1.9%−3.8%36
Sep 2026$16.2B−1.7%−2.0%35

From Ford Motor Company's SEC filings: inventory at each quarter end, against the same quarter end a year earlier, and the quarter's revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Inventory days: inventory over the cost of sales of the four quarters to that date, times 365. Gross margin: gross profit over revenue, by quarter.

Customers and suppliers

In its latest annual report Ford Motor Company buys from Novelis, Ford Otosan.

Along the supply chainTwo steps either way, as each company’s latest annual report names the others

Suppliers

Ford Otosan FROTO.IS
Novelis
FFord Motor Company

Partners

IonityFord Motor Company invested in it · Equity investment15% equity interest
RouteOneFord Motor Company invested in it · Equity investment30% equity interest
Diesel Song Cong One Member Limited Liability CompanyCo-owns vehicle assembly and distribution venture25% interest in Ford Vietnam Limited
AATManufactures Ford and Mazda vehicles50/50 joint venture
MazdaCo-owns vehicle manufacturing venture50/50 joint venture
BOSKBuilds and operates EV battery plants50/50 joint venture
SK OnCo-owns EV battery manufacturing venture50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On, SKBA
SKBACo-owns EV battery manufacturing venture50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On, SKBA
CAFProduces and distributes Ford and Lincoln vehicles50/50 joint venture
ChanganCo-owns vehicle manufacturing and distribution venture50/50 joint venture
Ford Otosan FROTO.ISManufactures and distributes Ford vehiclesFord holds 41% interest
Koc GroupCo-owns Ford Otosan vehicle manufacturing venture41% interest in Ford Otosan
JMCAssembles vehicles and enginesFord holds 32% interest
Nanchang Jiangling InvestmentCo-owns JMC vehicle manufacturing venture41% interest in JMC

Changes since the previous annual report (10-K filed Feb 6, 2025)

NovelisNamed for the first time, as a supplier
RouteOneNamed for the first time, as a partner30% equity interest
TIER MobilityNo longer named (was a partner)
Show the filing's words
CompanyRoleIn the filing's words
Novelissupplier“Novelis is a major aluminum supplier to Ford, and since the initial fire occurred, we have been working closely with Novelis to address the situation and exploring potential alternative sources of aluminum.”
Diesel Song Cong One Member Limited Liability Companypartner · joint venture with it“•Ford Vietnam Limited — a joint venture between Ford (75%) and Diesel Song Cong One Member Limited Liability Company (a subsidiary of the Vietnam Engine and Agricultural Machinery Corporation, which, in turn, is majority owned (87.43%) by the State of Vietnam represented by the Ministry of Industry and Trade) (25%).”
AATpartner · joint venture with it“•AutoAlliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (“AAT”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Mazda that owns and operates a manufacturing plant in Rayong, Thailand. AAT produces Ford and Mazda products for domestic and export sales.”
Mazdapartner · joint venture with it“•AutoAlliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (“AAT”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Mazda that owns and operates a manufacturing plant in Rayong, Thailand.”
BOSKpartner · joint venture with it“•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.”
SK Onpartner · joint venture with it“•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.”
SKBApartner · joint venture with it“•BlueOval SK, LLC (“BOSK”) — a 50/50 joint venture among Ford, SK On Co., Ltd. (“SK On”), and SK Battery America, Inc. (“SKBA,” a wholly owned subsidiary of SK On) formed to build and operate an EV battery plant in Tennessee and two EV battery plants in Kentucky to supply batteries to Ford and Ford affiliates.”
CAFpartner · joint venture with it“•Changan Ford Automobile Corporation, Ltd. (“CAF”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd. (“Changan”). CAF operates four assembly plants, an engine plant, and a transmission plant in China where it produces and distributes a variety of Ford and Lincoln brand passenger vehicle models.”
Changanpartner · joint venture with it“•Changan Ford Automobile Corporation, Ltd. (“CAF”) — a 50/50 joint venture between Ford and Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd. (“Changan”).”
Ford Otosanpartner · joint venture with it“•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.”
Ford Otosansupplier“•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.”
Koc Grouppartner · joint venture with it“•Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”) — a joint venture in Türkiye among Ford (41%), the Koc Group of Türkiye (41%), and public investors (18%) that is the sole supplier to us of the Transit, Transit Custom, and Transit Courier commercial vehicles and the Puma for Europe and the sole distributor of Ford vehicles in Türkiye.”
JMCpartner · joint venture with it“•JMC — a publicly-traded company in China with Ford (32%) and Nanchang Jiangling Investment Co., Ltd. (41%) as its controlling shareholders.”
Nanchang Jiangling Investmentpartner · joint venture with it“•JMC — a publicly-traded company in China with Ford (32%) and Nanchang Jiangling Investment Co., Ltd. (41%) as its controlling shareholders.”
Ionitypartner · Ford Motor Company invested in it“Ionity Holding GmbH & Co. KG 114 117 15”
RouteOnepartner · Ford Motor Company invested in it“RouteOne, LLC 50 56 30”
Ballard Power Systems (40-F filed Mar 12, 2026)joint venture with it“1. Ballard holds 100% of the non-voting, participating shares of BDF IP Holdings Ltd. and 34% of the voting, non-participating shares, along with each of Mercedes-Benz AG (33%) and Ford Motor Company (33%).”
Berkshire Hathaway (10-K filed Mar 2, 2026)calls it a supplier“BHA maintains franchise agreements with 26 different vehicle manufacturers, although it derives a significant portion of its revenue from the Toyota/Lexus, General Motors, Ford/Lincoln, Nissan/Infiniti and Honda/Acura brands.”

Only the companies Ford Motor Company names in its 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 (SEC). Named in other companies' filings: those whose own latest annual report or an 8-K since names Ford Motor Company. The supply chain joins the latest annual reports of the companies on it and the 8-Ks they filed since: a link shows when either side's report names the other, so it grows as more reports are read. Hover a name for the filing's own words.

Is it expensive?

Currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply, so we look at price-to-sales instead: 0.3x, below the peer median of 2.9x. Revenue is down 2% from a year ago.

0.3×Price-to-sales (P/S)

Below the peer median of 2.9x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.

Vs. peersPrice-to-sales (x)
FPeersPeer median 2.9x
Show the data
CompanyPrice-to-sales (P/S)
TSLA · Tesla, Inc.15.2×
RIVN · Rivian Automotive, Inc.2.9×
GM · General Motors Company0.4×
F · Ford Motor Company0.3×
CYD · China Yuchai International Limited—

Ford Motor Company is currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply. We use price-to-sales instead: market cap as a multiple of revenue.

What analysts expect

The average analyst price target is $15.14, 27% above the current price; 40% of 20 analysts rate it a buy; earnings beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

12-month price targetsCurrent price $11.90
12 mo agoTodayIn 12 mo
High target
$20.00+68%
Average target
$15.14+27%
Low target
$12.00+1%
Ratings20 analysts
Strong Buy 3Buy 5Hold 12Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Buy or Strong Buy: 8 analysts (40%). Sell or Strong Sell: 0.

Targets and ratings over the past year41 changes by 15 firms

Over the past year the average of the analysts' latest price targets went from $12.22 to $15.19 (+24%), while F went from $13.28 to $11.90 (−10%). In the past three months targets were cut 7 times and never raised. 4 upgrades and no downgrades over the year; the latest: Citigroup moved it to Buy from Neutral on Jul 29, 2026.

Average target $15.19FMiddle half of targetsUpgrade
Targets raised, by monthTargets cut
Show every change
DateFirmChangeRatingTarget
Oct 29, 2026RBC CapitalTarget cutSector Perform$14.00, was $15.00
Oct 29, 2026BNP ParibasTarget cutNeutral$13.00, was $13.50
Oct 29, 2026Morgan StanleyTarget cutEqual-Weight$13.00, was $14.00
Oct 29, 2026Goldman SachsTarget cutNeutral$12.00, was $14.00
Oct 12, 2026JP MorganTarget cutOverweight$16.00, was $17.00
Oct 7, 2026UBSTarget cutBuy$15.00, was $17.00
Oct 6, 2026Goldman SachsTarget cutNeutral$14.00, was $16.00
Jul 30, 2026BNP ParibasTarget raisedNeutral$14.50, was $14.00
Jul 29, 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy, was Neutral$20.00, was $19.00
Jul 29, 2026JP MorganTarget raisedOverweight$17.00, was $16.00
Jul 29, 2026TD CowenTarget raisedHold$15.00, was $13.00
Jul 29, 2026Piper SandlerTarget raisedOverweight$17.00, was $16.00
Jul 29, 2026RBC CapitalTarget raisedSector Perform$15.00, was $13.00
Jul 27, 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy, was Hold$17.50, was $14.50
Jul 17, 2026JP MorganTarget raisedOverweight$16.00, was $15.00
Jul 14, 2026BNP ParibasTarget raisedNeutral$14.00, was $13.00
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysTarget raisedEqual-Weight$14.00, was $13.00
Jun 25, 2026Wells FargoTarget raisedUnderweight$11.00, was $10.00
Jun 8, 2026UBSTarget raisedBuy$17.00, was $14.00
Jun 1, 2026CitigroupTarget raisedNeutral$19.00, was $13.00
May 29, 2026B of A SecuritiesTarget raisedBuy$20.00, was $17.00
May 15, 2026RBC CapitalTarget keptSector Perform$13.00
May 13, 2026Morgan StanleyTarget keptEqual-Weight$14.00
May 4, 2026CitigroupTarget cutNeutral$13.00, was $13.50
May 1, 2026TD CowenTarget cutHold$13.00, was $14.00
Apr 30, 2026UBSTarget cutBuy$14.00, was $15.00
Apr 30, 2026RBC CapitalTarget raisedSector Perform$13.00, was $11.00
Apr 15, 2026TD CowenTarget cutHold$14.00, was $15.00
Apr 14, 2026Goldman SachsTarget cutNeutral$13.00, was $15.00
Apr 14, 2026UBSUpgradeBuy, was Neutral$15.00
Mar 31, 2026Wells FargoTarget cutUnderweight$10.00, was $11.00
Feb 11, 2026RBC CapitalTarget keptSector Perform$12.00
Jan 23, 2026BarclaysTarget raisedEqual-Weight$13.00, was $12.00
Jan 21, 2026JP MorganTarget raisedOverweight$15.00, was $14.00
Jan 14, 2026UBSTarget raisedNeutral$15.00, was $12.50
Jan 13, 2026TD CowenTarget raisedHold$15.00, was $13.00
Jan 13, 2026HSBCTarget raisedHold$12.80, was $9.80
Jan 8, 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight, was Neutral$16.00, was $11.00
Dec 22, 2025Evercore ISI GroupTarget raisedIn-Line$14.00, was $12.00
Dec 8, 2025Morgan StanleyTarget raisedEqual-Weight$14.00, was $11.00
Nov 24, 2025Evercore ISI GroupTarget raisedIn-Line$12.00, was $10.00
Earnings against estimatesLast 4 quarters, per share
Average estimateReported, beatReported, missed
Show the data
QuarterEstimateReportedSurprise
Dec ’25$0.19$0.13−31.6%
Mar ’26$0.19$0.66+247.4%
Jun ’26$0.35$0.42+20.0%
Sep ’26$0.40$0.49+22.5%

The day after each of these reports the stock moved +1.9% (Dec 2025, missed); −2.6% (Mar 2026, beat); +4.1% (Jun 2026, beat); +5.6% (Sep 2026, beat).

Expected nextConsensus of Nov 10, 2026

For the quarter ending Dec 2026, analysts expect adjusted earnings of $0.35 a share, 170% more than the $0.13 of a year earlier, and revenue of $45.7B, down 0.4% on a year earlier. For the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, they expect adjusted earnings of $1.89 a share.

EPS, quarter ending Dec 2026
$0.35+170% on a year earlier

Adjusted. Dec 2025: $0.13; range $0.32 to $0.40; 11 analysts

Revenue, quarter ending Dec 2026
$45.7B0% on a year earlier

Dec 2025: $45.9B; range $43.2B to $46.9B; 5 analysts

EPS, year ending Dec 2027
$1.89

Adjusted. The year to Dec 2026: $1.90 expected, with a quarter far from its estimate; range $1.74 to $2.07; 19 analysts

Show the data
PeriodFigureExpectedLow to highAnalystsA year earlierChange
Quarter ending Dec 2026EPS (adjusted)$0.35$0.32 to $0.4011$0.13 (Dec 2025)+170%
Quarter ending Dec 2026Revenue$45.7B$43.2B to $46.9B5$45.9B (Dec 2025)0%
Quarter ending Mar 2027EPS (adjusted)$0.42$0.34 to $0.506$0.66 (Mar 2026)—
Quarter ending Mar 2027Revenue$42.1B$40.4B to $44.8B4$43.3B (Mar 2026)−3%
Year ending Dec 2026EPS (adjusted)$1.90$1.79 to $1.9517——
Year ending Dec 2027EPS (adjusted)$1.89$1.74 to $2.0719$1.90 (expected, year to Dec 2026)—

Targets, ratings and earnings estimates: Yahoo Finance. Rating and target changes: Yahoo Finance's list of upgrades and downgrades. The average target on each day is the average of every listed firm's latest target set in the 180 days before it, so it counts fewer analysts than the average target above, and the band is the middle half of those targets (a quarter of the firms are above it, a quarter below); a target set before a stock split is divided by the split. Expected figures: the average of the analysts' estimates (Yahoo Finance). Their EPS is adjusted, as analysts estimate it, so it is set against the adjusted EPS Yahoo reports for the same quarters, not the GAAP EPS of the growth and valuation sections; revenue against the SEC filings. No change is given against a quarter whose reported EPS was more than 50% off its own estimate (often a one-off gain or charge), nor against a year that counts one. Each estimate is pinned to its fiscal period by the report date or the period's end, and one that cannot be is left out.

Where the cash goes

Generated $5.2B in free cash flow over the year, of which $2.7B went back to shareholders (dividends plus buybacks), leaving $2.4B in the company.

Where a year of cash went4 quarters to Sep 2026
Show the data
LineAmount
Op. cash flow$15.0B
Capex−$9.8B
Free cash flow$5.2B
Dividends−$2.4B
Buybacks−$320M
Cash retained$2.4B
Free cash flow yield
10.8%

For every $100 of market cap, the company generates about $10.8 in free cash flow a year.

Dividend yield
5.0%

For every $100 of market cap, you receive about $5.0 in dividends a year.

Shareholder yield
5.7%

Dividends plus buybacks over the last four quarters: for every $100 of market cap, about $5.7 went back to shareholders.

By quarter: free cash flow and what went back to shareholdersLast 12 quarters
Free cash flowDividendsBuybacks
Show the data
Quarter endedFree cash flowDividendsBuybacks
Dec 2023$197M$601M$335M
Mar 2024−$709M$1.3B$0
Jun 2024$3.4B$599M$244M
Sep 2024$3.5B$597M$32M
Dec 2024$530M$596M$150M
Mar 2025$1.9B$1.2B$0
Jun 2025$4.2B$597M$0
Sep 2025$5.3B$597M$0
Dec 2025$1.1B$599M$0
Mar 2026−$1.1B$607M$311M
Jun 2026$2.0B$599M$0
Sep 2026$3.1B$598M$0
Diluted sharesUp 0.7% in a year

Ford Motor Company had 4.08B diluted shares in the quarter ended Sep 2026, 0.7% more than a year earlier, and 0.3% more each year on average since Jun 2020. It spent $311M on buybacks over the last four quarters.

Show the data
Quarter endedDiluted shares
Jun 20203.99B
Sep 20204.00B
Mar 20214.02B
Jun 20214.03B
Sep 20214.04B
Mar 20224.01B
Jun 20224.05B
Sep 20224.02B
Mar 20234.03B
Jun 20234.04B
Sep 20234.05B
Mar 20244.02B
Jun 20244.02B
Sep 20244.02B
Mar 20254.01B
Jun 20253.98B
Sep 20254.05B
Mar 20264.07B
Jun 20263.99B
Sep 20264.08B

Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capital spending on property, plant and equipment, from SEC filings, for the last 4 quarters and by quarter. Shares: each quarter's diluted weighted average as filed with the SEC, since the stock's listing and its latest split.

Financial health

Current ratio 1.1, short-term debt is manageable; shareholder equity is only 12% of assets, so debt-to-equity (4.5) says little; net debt is 8.3 years of operating cash flow, which is heavy.

Current ratio
1.1Fair liquidity

Assets that can be turned into cash soon are 1.1x what is owed within a year. 1.5 or higher is comfortable; below 1 needs watching.

Debt-to-equity
4.5Small equity

Shareholder funds are only 12% of assets, so $4.5 of debt per $1 of them says little about whether the debt can be carried. The years of operating cash flow it would take to repay it say more.

Net debt
$124.8BMore debt than cash

Cash and short-term investments of $38.5B against debt of $163.3B. Lease obligations of $2.4B are not counted: they are rent owed, not money borrowed. It also holds $2.8B of long-term investments, which can be stakes in other companies rather than cash.

Net debt ÷ cash flow
8.3 yearsHeavy debt

Net debt of $124.8B is 8.3 years of the $15.0B its operations brought in over the last four quarters. Under 1 year is light; over 3 is heavy.

AssetsTotal ~$289.2B
Cash
$23.4B8.1%
Investments
$17.9B6.2%
Receivables
$64.5B22.3%
Inventory
$15.3B5.3%
Property & equipment
$65.8B22.8%
Other
$102.3B35.3%
Liabilities & equityTotal ~$289.2B
Current
$114.9B39.7%
Long-term
$138.3B47.8%
Equity
$36.0B12.5%

Latest fiscal year balance sheet. Source: Yahoo Finance.

What did the funds Hunch tracks do?

Of the 83 funds whose 13F filings Hunch reads, 10 held F at the end of their latest quarter (for most, Q3 2026). Over that quarter 6 added shares, 3 cut and 1 bought new. The largest of them is Norges Bank, 51.71M shares worth $719M at Jun 30, 2026, 0.6% more than at Dec 31, 2025.

Funds that added shares
7

1 of them new holders

Funds that cut
3

Over their latest quarter

Each fund's change in sharesChange in shares over the latest quarter
Added or newCut or sold all
Show every fund
FundQuarterSharesValueChange in sharesChangeFiled
Norges BankQ2 2026 vs Q4 202551.71M$719M+302,332+0.6%Aug 12, 2026
Swiss National BankQ3 202610.70M$129M−347,400−3.1%Nov 12, 2026
National Pension ServiceQ3 202610.02M$121M+69,873+0.7%Nov 12, 2026
Canada Pension Plan Investment BoardQ2 20265.56M$77.2M+798,954+17%Aug 14, 2026
Mirae Asset Global InvestmentsQ3 20264.86M$58.6M+575,459+13%Nov 3, 2026
Korea InvestmentQ2 20261.88M$26.2M−1.45M−44%Aug 12, 2026
Renaissance TechnologiesQ3 2026459,009$5.5M+459,009NewNov 12, 2026
Nomura HoldingsQ2 2026214,101$3.0M+105,052+96%Aug 14, 2026
Bridgewater AssociatesQ2 2026155,958$2.2M−106,355−41%Aug 14, 2026
Fisher Asset ManagementQ3 2026119,358$1.4M+17,296+17%Nov 6, 2026

From the 13F filings of the 83 funds Hunch tracks, not of every institution: each fund's shares of F at its latest quarter end against the quarter before, as filed (long positions only, options left out), the quarter before put on the latest quarter's share count across a split. A fund files 45 days after its quarter ends, so some have a newer quarter than others. Value is at the quarter end. Norges Bank filed its 13F for Q1 2026 confidentially, with no holdings made public, so its row compares Q2 2026 with Q4 2025.

Are insiders buying or selling?

Officers and directors bought $2.2M of F on the open market in the 12 months to Nov 12, 2026; none sold. The largest was William Clay Ford Jr (Executive Chair and Chair; director), who bought $1.9M in 1 purchase.

Sold
None

0 sales

Bought
$2.2M

3 purchases

Trades on the priceA dot a day, sized by value
FPurchase
Who tradedOpen-market trades, last 12 months
William Clay Ford Jr
Executive Chair and Chair; director
+$1.9M1 trade
John L Thornton
Director
+$248K2 trades
Show every trade
DateInsiderRoleTradeSharesPriceValueFiled
Jun 23, 2026John L ThorntonDirectorBuy10,600$14.05$149KJun 24, 2026
Feb 19, 2026William Clay Ford JrExecutive Chair and Chair; directorBuy140,000$13.82$1.9MFeb 23, 2026
Nov 14, 2025John L ThorntonDirectorBuy7,520$13.19$99KNov 18, 2025

From the Form 4s filed with the SEC about Ford Motor Company (93 in the 12 months): purchases (code P) and sales (code S) on the open market by its officers and directors, at the price each filing gives (often an average of the day's trades). A sale is a 10b5-1 sale when its filing says it was made under such a plan, set up in advance. Not counted: 145 other transactions (grants, option exercises, shares withheld for tax, gifts and other transfers).

Insights that mention F