
FuelCell Energy, Inc.
- What it sells
- Product is 44% and Electricity Generation 30% of revenue (fiscal year to Oct 2025), from 16% and 30% two years earlier.
- Growing?
- No: revenue down 29% on a year earlier (quarter ended Jul 2026).
- Expensive?
- Price-to-sales (P/S) 5.3×. Above the peer median of 3.5x. The market pays more per $1 of revenue than for peers.
- Analysts?
- 55% of 11 say buy; average 12-month target $21.10, 106% above today's price.
- Risky?
- Much swingier than most large companies: its price swung 135% over the past year (the S&P 500's 14%), and it fell as much as 99% since Nov 2021.
FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops, manufactures, installs, operates, and services megawatt-scale fuel cell power platforms (including the SureSource product line) that provide on-site or utility-scale electricity and, in some configurations, combined heat and power (CHP).
More about FuelCell Energy
Revenue is generated via (1) product sales (fuel cell modules/plant equipment and related project work), (2) long‑term service agreements (LTSAs) for operations, maintenance, and scheduled module replacements, and (3) recurring generation revenue from electricity (and related attributes) sold under power purchase agreements (PPAs) and tariffs for owned/retained projects.
Market Position
FuelCell Energy competes in the distributed/utility-scale fuel cell and low‑carbon generation markets, differentiated by its molten carbonate technology that can deliver steady baseload power and is marketed alongside carbon capture and hydrogen solutions. Its installed base and long-duration O&M relationships (including module exchange cycles under LTSAs) support a service/generation revenue stream alongside new platform deployments.
Key Segments
The company’s reported revenue is commonly organized around Product (platforms/modules and project-related sales), Service Agreements (O&M and module exchanges under LTSAs), and Generation (electricity sales under PPAs/tariffs from retained assets).
How has the stock done?
Over the past month FCEL fell 37.4%; the industrials ETF (XLI) rose 0.2% and the S&P 500 fell 2.7%.
Over the past six months FCEL fell 40.0%; the industrials ETF (XLI) fell 2.8% and the S&P 500 rose 2.6%.
Over the past year FCEL rose 32.9%; the industrials ETF (XLI) rose 9.7% and the S&P 500 rose 10.8%.
Over five years FCEL fell 97.0%; the industrials ETF (XLI) rose 58.5% and the S&P 500 rose 62.0%.
From Nov 12, 2021 to Apr 22, 2025, the deepest drop from a high since Nov 2021
How much the price swings in a year; the S&P 500's was 14%
When the S&P 500 moves 1%, the stock has moved about 3.7% the same way
Show the earnings releases
| Released | Quarter | Revenue | EPS vs estimate | Stock, day after | 5 days after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | ended Jul 2026 | $33M (−29% vs a year earlier) | −$0.64 vs −$0.39 (missed) | −14.1% | −8.7% |
| Jun 8, 2026 | ended Apr 2026 | $36M (−5% vs a year earlier) | −$0.53 vs −$0.43 (missed) | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| Mar 9, 2026 | ended Jan 2026 | $31M (+61% vs a year earlier) | −$0.52 vs −$0.68 (beat) | −7.2% | −9.1% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ended Oct 2025 | $55M (+12% vs a year earlier) | −$0.93 vs −$1.03 (beat) | +5.6% | +7.3% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | ended Jul 2025 | $47M (+97% vs a year earlier) | — | +35.1% | +60.9% |
| Jun 6, 2025 | ended Apr 2025 | $37M (+67% vs a year earlier) | — | +43.7% | +16.0% |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ended Jan 2025 | $19M (+14% vs a year earlier) | — | +8.2% | −12.0% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | ended Oct 2024 | $49M (+120% vs a year earlier) | — | +6.1% | +2.2% |
| Sep 5, 2024 | ended Jul 2024 | $24M (−7% vs a year earlier) | — | +7.3% | +9.8% |
| Jun 10, 2024 | ended Apr 2024 | $22M (−42% vs a year earlier) | — | +5.7% | −8.0% |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ended Jan 2024 | $17M (−55% vs a year earlier) | — | −7.4% | −18.0% |
| Dec 19, 2023 | ended Oct 2023 | $22M (−43% vs a year earlier) | — | −5.2% | +16.3% |
| Sep 11, 2023 | ended Jul 2023 | $26M (−41% vs a year earlier) | — | −6.3% | −18.8% |
| Jun 8, 2023 | ended Apr 2023 | $38M (+134% vs a year earlier) | — | −2.1% | +13.4% |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ended Jan 2023 | $37M (+17% vs a year earlier) | — | −6.1% | −6.4% |
| Dec 20, 2022 | ended Oct 2022 | $39M (+181% vs a year earlier) | — | −17.2% | −21.8% |
| Sep 8, 2022 | ended Jul 2022 | $43M (+61% vs a year earlier) | — | +6.3% | +6.5% |
| Jun 9, 2022 | ended Apr 2022 | $16M (+17% vs a year earlier) | — | −7.6% | −20.1% |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ended Jan 2022 | $32M (+114% vs a year earlier) | — | +6.2% | +1.3% |
| Dec 29, 2021 | ended Oct 2021 | $14M (−18% vs a year earlier) | — | −9.2% | −9.4% |
Change in closing price from the first day shown, or with Price the closing price itself. Prices: Yahoo Finance, to Nov 12, 2026. Dashed lines: the days the company released earnings (its SEC 8-K filings); EPS estimates: Yahoo Finance. The stock's move after a release runs from the last close before its day to the close the day after (or five days after), so a release before the open counts like one after the close.
Is the business growing?
Revenue was $33M in the quarter ended Jul 2026, down 29% from a year earlier.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Revenue | vs a year earlier |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2022 | $39M | +181% |
| Jan 2023 | $37M | +17% |
| Apr 2023 | $38M | +134% |
| Jul 2023 | $26M | −41% |
| Oct 2023 | $22M | −43% |
| Jan 2024 | $17M | −55% |
| Apr 2024 | $22M | −42% |
| Jul 2024 | $24M | −7% |
| Oct 2024 | $49M | +120% |
| Jan 2025 | $19M | +14% |
| Apr 2025 | $37M | +67% |
| Jul 2025 | $47M | +97% |
| Oct 2025 | $55M | +12% |
| Jan 2026 | $31M | +61% |
| Apr 2026 | $36M | −5% |
| Jul 2026 | $33M | −29% |
Revenue went from $130M in FY22 to $158M in FY25; net income from −$143M to −$188M.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| FY22 | $130M | −$143M |
| FY23 | $123M | −$108M |
| FY24 | $112M | −$126M |
| FY25 | $158M | −$188M |
In the fiscal year to Oct 2025, Product was 44% and Electricity Generation was 30% of revenue; Product rose from 16% in the fiscal year to Oct 2023.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | Service | $49M | 40% |
| FY2023 | Electricity Generation | $38M | 30% |
| FY2023 | Product | $20M | 16% |
| FY2023 | Advanced Technologies | $17M | 14% |
| FY2024 | Electricity Generation | $50M | 45% |
| FY2024 | Advanced Technologies | $27M | 24% |
| FY2024 | Product | $26M | 23% |
| FY2024 | Service | $10M | 9% |
| FY2025 | Product | $69M | 44% |
| FY2025 | Electricity Generation | $48M | 30% |
| FY2025 | Advanced Technologies | $21M | 13% |
| FY2025 | Service | $20M | 13% |
In the fiscal year to Oct 2025, United States was 52% and South Korea was 48% of revenue.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | United States | $63M | 51% |
| FY2023 | South Korea | $58M | 47% |
| FY2023 | Europe | $1.7M | 1% |
| FY2024 | United States | $87M | 78% |
| FY2024 | South Korea | $23M | 20% |
| FY2024 | Europe | $1.9M | 2% |
| FY2024 | Canada | $415K | 0.4% |
| FY2025 | United States | $82M | 52% |
| FY2025 | South Korea | $75M | 48% |
| FY2025 | Europe | $428K | 0.3% |
| FY2025 | Canada | $115K | 0.1% |
A year earlier −$3.78
Diluted, from SEC filings
Quarters: FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s SEC filings, named by the month they end. Fiscal years: FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s annual reports to the SEC.
How it makes money
The company loses $118.8 for every $100 of revenue.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Gross | Operating | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2022 | −38.7% | −108.8% | −108.3% |
| Jan 2023 | 14.1% | −60.6% | −50.2% |
| Apr 2023 | −15.9% | −93.5% | −89.4% |
| Jul 2023 | −32.2% | −162.3% | −95.2% |
| Oct 2023 | −6.5% | −161.9% | −135.2% |
| Jan 2024 | −70.2% | −254.5% | −118.6% |
| Apr 2024 | −31.6% | −184.5% | −143.4% |
| Jul 2024 | −26.2% | −141.9% | −137.8% |
| Oct 2024 | −22.1% | −83.2% | −84.0% |
| Jan 2025 | −27.4% | −172.9% | −149.1% |
| Apr 2025 | −25.2% | −95.7% | −101.7% |
| Jul 2025 | −11.0% | −204.0% | −196.1% |
| Oct 2025 | −12.1% | −51.5% | −54.3% |
| Jan 2026 | −19.2% | −86.1% | −74.9% |
| Apr 2026 | −36.3% | −218.9% | −218.9% |
| Jul 2026 | −74.2% | −141.4% | −134.7% |
Circled: Jul 2023 (net −95.2%, operating −162.3%), Jan 2024 (net −118.6%, operating −254.5%), Apr 2024 (net −143.4%, operating −184.5%). Net margin is usually about 7 points above operating margin; in those quarters something below operating income (a tax charge or benefit, a gain or loss on investments, a write-down) moved it, not the business itself.
+6.0 pts over 3 years
Loss exceeds revenue
Loss exceeds revenue
Each margin is that line of the income statement divided by revenue. Fiscal year: FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s annual reports to the SEC; quarters: SEC filings.
How long can the cash last?
FuelCell Energy had $658M in cash and short-term investments at the end of Jul 2026. It burned $101M over the last four quarters (operating cash flow minus capital spending), so at that pace the cash lasts about 26 quarters.
Cash and short-term investments over the average quarterly burn
Operating cash flow minus capital spending
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Cash and short-term investments | Free cash flow | Raised selling shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2023 | $354M | −$27M | — |
| Jan 2024 | $297M | −$69M | — |
| Apr 2024 | $260M | −$50M | — |
| Jul 2024 | $267M | −$77M | — |
| Oct 2024 | $257M | −$4.7M | — |
| Jan 2025 | $208M | −$53M | — |
| Apr 2025 | $177M | −$35M | — |
| Jul 2025 | $175M | −$32M | — |
| Oct 2025 | $278M | −$24M | — |
| Jan 2026 | $312M | −$35M | — |
| Apr 2026 | $373M | −$29M | — |
| Jul 2026 | $658M | −$14M | — |
From FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s SEC filings: cash and cash equivalents plus short-term investments (none where none is filed) at each quarter end; free cash flow is operating cash flow minus capital spending; shares are each quarter's diluted weighted average as filed, since the stock's listing and its latest split (a 10-K gives no fourth-quarter figure). Shown while the last four quarters' operating cash flow and net income are both negative.
Customers and suppliers
In its latest annual report FuelCell Energy buys from 52nd Street Business Centre; sells to GGE, Ameresco, Exxon Mobil and 8 more. Since then its 8-K filings name Fit as a partner (Jun 24, 2026).
Suppliers
Customers
FuelCell Energy's 10-K for the year to Oct 2025 gives 7 customers' shares of its revenue: Gyeonggi Green Energy (46%), Connecticut Light And Power. (15%), United Illuminating (7%), Exxon Mobile Research And Engineering Company (6%), Esso Nederland (5%), Ameresco Inc (2%) and Korea Southern Power Company (1%). Separately, it gives a group of customers: Top Customers (82%).
Show the filings' numbers
| Period | Customer | Share of revenue | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Connecticut Light And Power. | 21% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Gyeonggi Green Energy | 18% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Esso Nederland | 10% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Exxon Mobile Research And Engineering Company | 8% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Ameresco Inc | 7% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | United Illuminating | 3% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Korea Southern Power Company | 1% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2024 | Top Customers (group) | 68% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Gyeonggi Green Energy | 46% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Connecticut Light And Power. | 15% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | United Illuminating | 7% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Exxon Mobile Research And Engineering Company | 6% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Esso Nederland | 5% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Ameresco Inc | 2% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Korea Southern Power Company | 1% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
| Year ended Oct 2025 | Top Customers (group) | 82% | 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 |
From FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s 10-Q and 10-K filings (XBRL): each customer whose share of revenue a filing tags, under the filing's own label, so “Customer A” in one filing can be another company in the next; a later filing's figures for a period replace an earlier one's. A dash is a group of customers the filing gives (a government's agencies, the largest customers together, all the others): it can include the customers beside it, so the shares need not add up.
Partners
Changes since the previous annual report (10-K filed Dec 27, 2024)
Show the filing's words
| Company | Role | In the filing's words |
|---|---|---|
| GGE | customer | “The total amount payable by GGE under the LTSA for the 42 replacement fuel cell modules, balance of plant replacement components, and service is $159.6 million, with payments being and to be made over time as such replacement fuel cell modules are commissioned and the service obligations under the LTSA for such Plants commence.” |
| Ameresco | customer | “$3.1 million of revenue was recognized under the Company’s sales contract with Ameresco, Inc. for the year ended October 31, 2025, compared to $7.7 million in the year ended October 31, 2024.” |
| Exxon Mobil | customer | “On January 31, 2024, the Company received a purchase order valued at $11.6 million from Esso Nederland B.V. (“Esso”), an affiliate of Exxon Mobil Corporation and EMTEC, for fuel cell modules as well as engineering, procurement, fabrication, testing and delivery services required for the construction and implementation of the modular point source carbon capture pilot plant at the Rotterdam Project. During the year ended October 31, 2025, the Company and Esso executed three change orders totaling $5.0 million to the original purchase order, which increased the total purchase order value to $16.6 million.” |
| Exxon Mobil | partner · licensing deal with it | “In June 2019, we entered into a license agreement with EMTEC to facilitate the further development of our carbon capture platform (the “EMTEC License Agreement”). Pursuant to the EMTEC License Agreement, we granted EMTEC and its affiliates a non-exclusive, worldwide, fully-paid, perpetual, irrevocable, non-transferable license and right to use our patents filed on or before April 30, 2021, and any data, know-how, improvements, equipment designs, methods, processes and the like provided directly by the Company or its affiliates to EMTEC or its affiliates under any agreement, or otherwise, on or before April 30, 2021, to the extent it is useful to research, develop and commercially exploit carbonate fuel cells in applications in which the fuel cells concentrate carbon dioxide from external industrial and power sources and for any other purpose attendant thereto or associated therewith, in exchange for a $10 million payment.” |
| CGN | customer | “During the year ended October 31, 2025, the Company entered into a LTSA with CGN-Yulchon Generation Co., Ltd. (“CGN”) for CGN’s Yulchon facility in South Korea (the “CGN Platform”). The contract value totaled approximately $31.7 million, of which approximately $7.7 million was allocated to service backlog at the time of the execution of the LTSA and will be recognized as revenue as the Company performs service at the CGN Platform over the term of the LTSA.” |
| UIL Holdings | customer | “The utilities and independent power producer market has historically been our largest market, with customers that include utilities on the East and West coasts of the United States, such as UIL Holdings Corporation, Inc. (owned by Avangrid, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Iberdrola), the Long Island Power Authority (“LIPA”) and Southern California Edison.” |
| Southern California Edison | customer | “The utilities and independent power producer market has historically been our largest market, with customers that include utilities on the East and West coasts of the United States, such as UIL Holdings Corporation, Inc. (owned by Avangrid, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Iberdrola), the Long Island Power Authority (“LIPA”) and Southern California Edison.” |
| E.ON Connecting Energies | customer | “In Europe, utility customers include E.ON Connecting Energies, one of the largest utilities in the world.” |
| KOSPO | customer | “In South Korea, we are contracted to operate and maintain a number of large-scale utility deployments, including a 20 MW power plant project for Korea Southern Power Company (“KOSPO”), a 20 MW power plant project for Noeul Green Energy Co., Ltd., and a 58.8 MW power plant project for Gyeonggi Green Energy Co., Ltd.” |
| Noeul Green Energy | customer | “The Company signed a LTSA with Noeul Green Energy Co., Ltd. (“Noeul Green Energy”) in July 2023.” |
| POSCO Energy | partner · licensing deal with it | “We previously licensed certain of our carbonate fuel cell manufacturing intellectual property to POSCO Energy Co., Ltd. (“POSCO Energy”) on an exclusive basis in the South Korean and broader Asian markets, and pursuant to the terms of our Settlement Agreement with POSCO Energy, we have done so again, but this time on a limited, non-exclusive basis to enable module replacement to POSCO Energy’s existing long-term service agreement customers only.” |
| Franklin Park | partner · joint venture with it | “At the closing of the transaction, the Derby Projects are owned by the Derby Partnership, with Franklin Park holding the Class A Units, and Fuel Cell Energy Derby Finance Holdco, LLC holding the Class B Units.” |
| East West Bank | partner · joint venture with it | “At the closing of the transaction, the Groton Partnership is owned by East West Bank, holding Class A Units, and Fuel Cell Energy Finance Holdco, LLC, a subsidiary of FuelCell Energy Finance, LLC, holding Class B Units.” |
| REI | partner · joint venture with it | “Finally, the Company closed on a tax equity financing transaction in November 2021 with REI for the 7.4 MW fuel cell project (the “LIPA Yaphank Project”) in Yaphank Long Island. REI’s tax equity commitment totaled $12.4 million.” |
| Toyota | customer | “Toyota Motor North America (“Toyota”) has a contractual right under the Toyota HPPA to receive the benefit of the ITCs and, as a result, the Company recorded the value of the net amount due to Toyota as an accrued liability totaling $6.3 million, which will be reduced over time based on the performance under the terms of the contract with 101” |
| CLPC | customer | “As additional context concerning the relationship among the parties with respect to the Derby Senior Back Leverage Loan Facility and the Derby Subordinated Back Leverage Loan Facility more fully described below, on October 19, 2018, the Derby Project Companies and Parent entered into an Amended and Restated Power Purchase Agreement (the “Derby Amended and Restated PPA”) with The Connecticut Light and Power Company d/b/a Eversource Energy (“CLPC”), pursuant to which the Derby Project Companies agreed to sell to CLPC, and CLPC agreed to purchase from the Derby Project Companies, all of the electricity output produced by the Derby Projects pursuant to the terms and conditions of the Derby Amended and Restated PPA.” |
| 52nd Street Business Centre | supplier | “Lease Expansion and Amending Agreement, dated August 2, 2024, between 52nd Street Business Centre, LP, by its General Partner, 52nd Street Business Centre GP Inc., and Versa Power Systems Ltd. (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed on September 5, 2024).” |
| Fit (8-K filed Jun 24, 2026) | partner · invested in FuelCell Energy | “On June 22, 2026, in connection with the CEPA, the Company entered into a warrant agreement (the “Warrant Agreement”) with Fit, pursuant to which the Company issued to Fit three tranches of warrants representing Fit’s right to purchase up to an aggregate of 12,000,000 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Common Stock”) at an exercise price of $26.44 per share (the “Strike Price”).” |
Only the companies FuelCell Energy names in its 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025 (SEC) and in the 8-Ks it filed since, each with its date. The supply chain joins the latest annual reports of the companies on it and the 8-Ks they filed since: a link shows when either side's report names the other, so it grows as more reports are read. Hover a name for the filing's own words.
Is it expensive?
Currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply, so we look at price-to-sales instead: 5.3x, above the peer median of 3.5x. Revenue is down 29% from a year ago.
Above the peer median of 3.5x. The market pays more per $1 of revenue than for peers.
Show the data
| Company | Price-to-sales (P/S) |
|---|---|
| BE · Bloom Energy Corporation | 15.6× |
| VRT · Vertiv Holdings Co | 6.2× |
| FCEL · FuelCell Energy, Inc. | 5.3× |
| NVT · nVent Electric plc | 3.5× |
| HUBB · Hubbell Incorporated | 3.5× |
| AYI · Acuity Inc. | 2.1× |
FuelCell Energy, Inc. is currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply. We use price-to-sales instead: market cap as a multiple of revenue.
What analysts expect
The average analyst price target is $21.10, 106% above the current price; 55% of 11 analysts rate it a buy; earnings beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
Buy or Strong Buy: 6 analysts (55%). Sell or Strong Sell: 2.
Over the past year the average of the analysts' latest price targets went from $9.08 to $21.78 (+140%), while FCEL went from $7.04 to $10.25 (+46%). In the past three months targets were cut once and never raised. 4 upgrades and no downgrades over the year; the latest: UBS moved it to Buy from Neutral on Jul 14, 2026.
Show every change
| Date | Firm | Change | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Began coverage | Outperform | $24.00 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Barclays | Began coverage | Equal-Weight | $20.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Citigroup | Began coverage | Neutral | $19.00 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Jefferies | Target cut | Buy | $20.00, was $24.00 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Target kept | Buy | $30.00 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy, was Neutral | $27.00, was $22.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy, was Neutral | $32.00, was $13.00 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $22.00, was $7.25 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy, was Hold | $24.00, was $16.00 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Underweight | $8.00, was $6.00 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Jefferies | Target raised | Hold | $16.00, was $7.20 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Neutral | $13.00, was $8.00 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Hold | $16.00, was $9.00 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Upgrade | Buy, was Hold | $30.00, was $12.00 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target cut | Underweight | $6.00, was $7.00 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Target kept | Hold | $12.00 |
Show the data
| Quarter | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct ’25 | −$1.03 | −$0.93 | +9.7% |
| Jan ’26 | −$0.68 | −$0.52 | +23.5% |
| Apr ’26 | −$0.43 | −$0.53 | −23.3% |
| Jul ’26 | −$0.39 | −$0.64 | −64.1% |
The day after each of these reports the stock moved +5.6% (Oct 2025, beat); −7.2% (Jan 2026, beat); +0.9% (Apr 2026, missed); −14.1% (Jul 2026, missed).
For the quarter ending Oct 2026 (FuelCell Energy reports on Dec 17, 2026), analysts expect an adjusted loss of $0.35 a share, against a loss of $0.93 a year earlier, and revenue of $48M, down 12% on a year earlier. For the fiscal year ending Oct 2027, they expect an adjusted loss of $1.02 a share, and revenue of $242M, up 62% on the year before's estimate.
Adjusted. Oct 2025: a loss of $0.93; range −$0.47 to −$0.27; 6 analysts
Oct 2025: $55M; range $41M to $66M; 10 analysts
Adjusted. The year to Oct 2026: a loss of $2.10 expected, with a quarter far from its estimate; range −$1.48 to −$0.83; 6 analysts
The year to Oct 2026: $149M expected; range $224M to $288M; 9 analysts
Show the data
| Period | Figure | Expected | Low to high | Analysts | A year earlier | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter ending Oct 2026, results Dec 17, 2026 | EPS (adjusted) | −$0.35 | −$0.47 to −$0.27 | 6 | −$0.93 (Oct 2025) | — |
| Quarter ending Oct 2026, results Dec 17, 2026 | Revenue | $48M | $41M to $66M | 10 | $55M (Oct 2025) | −12% |
| Quarter ending Jan 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | −$0.24 | −$0.26 to −$0.20 | 4 | −$0.52 (Jan 2026) | — |
| Quarter ending Jan 2027 | Revenue | $55M | $38M to $65M | 5 | $31M (Jan 2026) | +81% |
| Year ending Oct 2026 | EPS (adjusted) | −$2.10 | −$2.93 to −$1.80 | 5 | — | — |
| Year ending Oct 2026 | Revenue | $149M | $140M to $169M | 11 | $158M (year to Oct 2025) | −6% |
| Year ending Oct 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | −$1.02 | −$1.48 to −$0.83 | 6 | −$2.10 (expected, year to Oct 2026) | — |
| Year ending Oct 2027 | Revenue | $242M | $224M to $288M | 9 | $149M (expected, year to Oct 2026) | +62% |
Targets, ratings and earnings estimates: Yahoo Finance. Rating and target changes: Yahoo Finance's list of upgrades and downgrades. The average target on each day is the average of every listed firm's latest target set in the 180 days before it, so it counts fewer analysts than the average target above, and the band is the middle half of those targets (a quarter of the firms are above it, a quarter below); a target set before a stock split is divided by the split. Expected figures: the average of the analysts' estimates (Yahoo Finance). Their EPS is adjusted, as analysts estimate it, so it is set against the adjusted EPS Yahoo reports for the same quarters, not the GAAP EPS of the growth and valuation sections; revenue against the SEC filings. No change is given against a quarter whose reported EPS was more than 50% off its own estimate (often a one-off gain or charge), nor against a year that counts one. Each estimate is pinned to its fiscal period by the report date or the period's end, and one that cannot be is left out.
Where the cash goes
Capex of $4.8M exceeds operating cash flow of −$96M, leaving free cash flow of −$101M. The gap has to be covered with cash on hand or borrowing.
Show the data
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Op. cash flow | −$96M |
| Capex | −$4.8M |
| Free cash flow | −$101M |
| Dividends | — |
| Buybacks | — |
| Cash retained | −$101M |
Free cash flow is negative, so the company is burning cash.
No dividend today; cash goes to growth and share buybacks.
Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capital spending on property, plant and equipment, from SEC filings.
Financial health
Current ratio 6.6, no pressure to repay short-term debt; debt-to-equity 0.2, debt is very low and the balance sheet is solid.
Assets that can be turned into cash soon are 6.6x what is owed within a year. 1.5 or higher is comfortable; below 1 needs watching.
For every $1 of shareholder funds, there is $0.2 of debt (leases not counted). The higher the number, the more pressure when the economy weakens.
Cash and short-term investments of $278M against debt of $131M. Lease obligations of $13M are not counted: they are rent owed, not money borrowed.
Latest fiscal year balance sheet. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Who holds it
In the filings of 4 funds whose copy leaves FCEL out (not traded on the exchange): CloudAlpha Capital Management Limited/Hong Kong, Swiss National Bank, Mirae Asset Global Investments, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board.
What did the funds Hunch tracks do?
Of the 83 funds whose 13F filings Hunch reads, 6 held FCEL at the end of their latest quarter (for most, Q3 2026). Over that quarter 1 added shares, 1 cut and 4 bought new. The largest of them is Renaissance Technologies, 3.19M shares worth $52.3M at Sep 30, 2026, 150.5% more than a quarter earlier.
4 of them new holders
Over their latest quarter
Show every fund
| Fund | Quarter | Shares | Value | Change in shares | Change | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies | Q3 2026 | 3.19M | $52.3M | +1.92M | +150% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| CloudAlpha Capital Management Limited/Hong Kong | Q3 2026 | 1.94M | $31.9M | +1.94M | New | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Tudor Investment Corp Et Al | Q2 2026 | 391,831 | $14.1M | +391,831 | New | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Swiss National Bank | Q3 2026 | 153,600 | $2.5M | +153,600 | New | Nov 12, 2026 |
| Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | Q2 2026 | 28,600 | $1.0M | −25,600 | −47% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Mirae Asset Global Investments | Q3 2026 | 27,500 | $452K | +27,500 | New | Nov 3, 2026 |
From the 13F filings of the 83 funds Hunch tracks, not of every institution: each fund's shares of FCEL at its latest quarter end against the quarter before, as filed (long positions only, options left out), the quarter before put on the latest quarter's share count across a split. A fund files 45 days after its quarter ends, so some have a newer quarter than others. Value is at the quarter end.