The fuel cell basket returned -32.0% in the most recent window, while the market stayed almost flat.
The whole fuel cell group fell, and the market did not
Here is the twist. The headline is about a huge year for Bloom Energy. The price data in front of us covers the recent months, not the whole year, and it looks very different. In the most recent trading window, the equal-weight basket A pretend portfolio that puts the same amount of money in each company on the list. It shows how a group did, not how one stock did. of three fuel cell names returned -32.0%. That is the kind of move you feel in a trading app the same day.
Data table
| date | series | value | series_role |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Industry basket | 0.0% | target |
| 2026-08-11 | Industry basket | 0.8% | target |
| 2026-08-12 | Industry basket | 10.1% | target |
| 2026-08-13 | Industry basket | 7.9% | target |
| 2026-08-14 | Industry basket | 10.6% | target |
| 2026-08-17 | Industry basket | 10.3% | target |
| 2026-08-18 | Industry basket | 3.7% | target |
| 2026-08-19 | Industry basket | 2.4% | target |
| 2026-08-20 | Industry basket | -2.3% | target |
| 2026-08-21 | Industry basket | 0.6% | target |
| 2026-08-24 | Industry basket | -1.9% | target |
| 2026-08-25 | Industry basket | 2.7% | target |
| 2026-08-26 | Industry basket | 0.9% | target |
| 2026-08-27 | Industry basket | 2.8% | target |
| 2026-08-28 | Industry basket | -2.2% | target |
| 2026-08-31 | Industry basket | -4.3% | target |
| 2026-09-01 | Industry basket | -4.5% | target |
| 2026-09-02 | Industry basket | -8.4% | target |
| 2026-09-03 | Industry basket | -4.7% | target |
| 2026-09-04 | Industry basket | -0.6% | target |
| 2026-09-08 | Industry basket | 9.4% | target |
| 2026-09-09 | Industry basket | 4.7% | target |
| 2026-09-10 | Industry basket | 0.4% | target |
| 2026-09-11 | Industry basket | 3.5% | target |
| 2026-09-14 | Industry basket | -1.1% | target |
| 2026-09-15 | Industry basket | -0.9% | target |
| 2026-09-16 | Industry basket | 0.7% | target |
| 2026-09-17 | Industry basket | 7.7% | target |
| 2026-09-18 | Industry basket | 5.5% | target |
| 2026-09-21 | Industry basket | 6.4% | target |
| 2026-09-22 | Industry basket | 7.1% | target |
| 2026-09-23 | Industry basket | 4.7% | target |
| 2026-09-24 | Industry basket | 0.7% | target |
| 2026-09-25 | Industry basket | 4.7% | target |
| 2026-09-28 | Industry basket | -1.9% | target |
| 2026-09-29 | Industry basket | 4.7% | target |
| 2026-09-30 | Industry basket | 2.1% | target |
| 2026-10-01 | Industry basket | 1.6% | target |
| 2026-10-02 | Industry basket | 6.8% | target |
| 2026-10-05 | Industry basket | 5.6% | target |
| 2026-10-06 | Industry basket | 10.9% | target |
| 2026-10-07 | Industry basket | 5.1% | target |
| 2026-10-08 | Industry basket | -0.5% | target |
| 2026-10-09 | Industry basket | 1.2% | target |
| 2026-10-12 | Industry basket | -5.4% | target |
| 2026-10-13 | Industry basket | -7.6% | target |
| 2026-10-14 | Industry basket | -15.4% | target |
| 2026-10-15 | Industry basket | -15.4% | target |
| 2026-10-16 | Industry basket | -21.3% | target |
| 2026-10-19 | Industry basket | -20.9% | target |
| 2026-10-20 | Industry basket | -21.8% | target |
| 2026-10-21 | Industry basket | -17.8% | target |
| 2026-10-22 | Industry basket | -24.3% | target |
| 2026-10-23 | Industry basket | -28.9% | target |
| 2026-08-10 | Market benchmark | 0.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-11 | Market benchmark | -0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-12 | Market benchmark | -0.1% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-13 | Market benchmark | 0.6% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-14 | Market benchmark | 0.4% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-17 | Market benchmark | -0.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-18 | Market benchmark | -0.7% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-19 | Market benchmark | -0.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-20 | Market benchmark | -1.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-21 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-24 | Market benchmark | -1.2% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-25 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-26 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-27 | Market benchmark | -0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-28 | Market benchmark | -0.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-08-31 | Market benchmark | -0.8% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-01 | Market benchmark | -1.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-02 | Market benchmark | -1.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-03 | Market benchmark | 0.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-04 | Market benchmark | -0.4% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-08 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-09 | Market benchmark | -1.4% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-10 | Market benchmark | -2.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-11 | Market benchmark | -1.1% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-14 | Market benchmark | -1.6% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-15 | Market benchmark | -2.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-16 | Market benchmark | -2.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-17 | Market benchmark | -1.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-18 | Market benchmark | -1.2% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-21 | Market benchmark | 0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-22 | Market benchmark | 0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-23 | Market benchmark | -0.4% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-24 | Market benchmark | -0.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-25 | Market benchmark | 0.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-28 | Market benchmark | -0.7% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-29 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-09-30 | Market benchmark | -1.1% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-01 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-02 | Market benchmark | -0.2% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-05 | Market benchmark | 0.5% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-06 | Market benchmark | 1.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-07 | Market benchmark | 0.8% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-08 | Market benchmark | 0.4% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-09 | Market benchmark | 1.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-12 | Market benchmark | 0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-13 | Market benchmark | 0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-14 | Market benchmark | -0.2% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-15 | Market benchmark | 0.1% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-16 | Market benchmark | -1.0% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-19 | Market benchmark | -0.6% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-20 | Market benchmark | -0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-21 | Market benchmark | 0.3% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-22 | Market benchmark | -0.9% | benchmark |
| 2026-10-23 | Market benchmark | -1.4% | benchmark |
Over the same window, the market benchmark A broad index of large listed companies, used as the yardstick for a normal day in the market. returned -1.5%. So this was not a bad patch for stocks in general; it was a bad patch for this corner of the market. The basket holds 3 fuel cell makers and gives each the same weight, so no single name is allowed to carry the average. These figures run through 23 October 2026, which means next week's quarterly report from Bloom Energy is not in them yet.
Glossary
- equal-weight basket
- A pretend portfolio that puts the same amount of money in each company on the list. It shows how a group did, not how one stock did.
- market benchmark
- A broad index of large listed companies, used as the yardstick for a normal day in the market.
Inside the group, the gap between names is huge
The group average hides a lot. Bloom Energy held up best of the three, at -6.7%. FuelCell Energy did worst, at -53.0%. Plug Power landed in between, so the ranking runs straight downhill from Bloom Energy to FuelCell Energy.
Data table
| name | ret | series_role |
|---|---|---|
| Bloom Energy | -6.7% | peer |
| Plug Power | -34.0% | peer |
| FuelCell Energy | -53.0% | peer |
A spread that wide tells you this is not one single trade. Measured over the longer window, the typical gap between members was 19.0%. My reading is that buyers are sorting these companies by how much real data centre power work each one has, instead of treating every fuel cell name the same way.
How far did the weakest of the three fuel cell names fall over the longer window?
Actual-53.0%
FuelCell Energy did worst, at -53.0%. The surprise is that it sat in the same industry basket, over the same days, as the name that barely moved.
Show answer
-53.0% FuelCell Energy did worst, at -53.0%. The surprise is that it sat in the same industry basket, over the same days, as the name that barely moved.
Around the news, only one name beat the market
Now the news itself. A large cloud customer named Bloom Energy as the main power source for an AI data centre campus, and the quarterly report lands next week. In the same window, Bloom Energy's return above the market's was 1.3%.
The middle of the three was -5.4% once the market's own move is stripped out. FuelCell Energy was -6.1%. In plain words: measured against the market, only Bloom Energy ended that window ahead, and the other two stayed behind. Bloom Energy's chief executive described speed as the company's edge with data centre buyers, saying 「the fastest dependable path to power wins」. None of this means the news moved the prices; it only means the move and the news fell in the same days. These reaction figures also run through 23 October 2026.
Quick quiz
Measured against the market, which fuel cell name ended the window around the news ahead?
Why:Bloom Energy's return above the market's was 1.3%, while the other two names finished behind the market.
Show answer
Bloom Energy Bloom Energy's return above the market's was 1.3%, while the other two names finished behind the market.
Risks
- An equal-weight basket of three names is not the whole fuel cell industry.
- One member can dominate a small basket, so the average may hide a single stock's swing.
- A shared drop can come from the whole market, not from this industry.
Sources
- FinMind USStockPrice SPY — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 16:52 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
- FinMind USStockPrice BE — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 16:52 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
- FinMind USStockPrice FCEL — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 16:52 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
- FinMind USStockPrice PLUG — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 16:52 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
