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American Express earnings shock: growth slips to 7.8%!

TL;DR

American Express revenue rose 7.8% from a year earlier in 2026Q3. Record quarter, slower pace.

A record quarter that is growing a little slower

American Express set its highest quarterly in the three years of data here in 2026Q3. Revenue is what the company keeps after it pays the interest that funds its card balances. It was up just 0.2% from the quarter before, so the record arrived by a hair.

Quarterly revenue and YoY growth
Revenue set a new high in 2026Q3, while the growth line has eased since its 2025Q4 peak.
Data table
periodrevenueyoy
2023Q4$9.6bn5.4%
2024Q1$9.3bn5.6%
2024Q2$9.8bn4.1%
2024Q3$9.7bn3.6%
2024Q4$10.0bn4.1%
2025Q1$9.6bn3.1%
2025Q2$10.3bn5.1%
2025Q3$10.4bn7.2%
2025Q4$10.9bn9.9%
2026Q1$10.5bn9.3%
2026Q2$11.2bn8.6%
2026Q3$11.2bn7.8%

Here is the part the headline misses. Revenue grew 7.8% from a year earlier in 2026Q3. That is down from 8.6% in 2026Q2, and the line has eased since its peak in 2025Q4. Over the past three years revenue grew 6.2% a year on average, so the pace is still above that longer run rate, just no longer speeding up. The figures here run through 2026Q3, the last quarter in this data.

Which line of the business did the work? The segment split and the expense breakdown behind it are not available here. That leaves the pace of the top line, and nothing more than that. On this evidence, the top line is the whole story.

Glossary
revenue
The money a company takes in from its business before costs. For a card company it is counted after the interest it pays to fund card balances.
growth
How much bigger a figure is than the same figure a year earlier. A company can set a record and still grow more slowly than before.

The shares did not join the party that day

Before the release, American Express ran 1.7% ahead of a basket of its peers over the days leading into the report. The basket holds 5 peers, including Visa, Mastercard and Bank of America. Then the report landed. On the day of the release its return ran -2.4% behind that basket. Two things happened in the same window, and nothing here says one moved the other.

How did the stock do against its peer group on the day the results came out?

Show answer

-2.4% On the day of the release its return ran -2.4% behind that basket. Good numbers and a soft share price can share the same morning.

Amex and its peer basket around the report
Into the report American Express ran 1.7% ahead of the peer basket; on release day that lead turned into a shortfall.
Data table
dayseriesvalueseries_role
-5American Express-0.1%target
-4American Express0.8%target
-3American Express1.4%target
-2American Express3.1%target
-1American Express3.6%target
0American Express-0.2%target
-5Peer basket0.5%peer
-4Peer basket-0.2%peer
-3Peer basket0.6%peer
-2Peer basket0.7%peer
-1Peer basket1.9%peer
0Peer basket0.6%peer
-5Cumulative abnormal return-0.6%neutral
-4Cumulative abnormal return1.0%neutral
-3Cumulative abnormal return0.8%neutral
-2Cumulative abnormal return2.3%neutral
-1Cumulative abnormal return1.7%neutral
0Cumulative abnormal return-0.7%neutral

Fewer trading days have passed since the release than the full window needs, so the after figure covers only the days available. A single day is a thin read on anything.

Priced below one card peer after a weak year

After the move, American Express traded at 17.6x . The median for peers with usable earnings was 22.9x, which puts Amex -23.1% below that median. Only 2 peers had earnings data usable here, because the others were missing a comparable quarterly figure, so treat the median as a rough marker rather than a verdict.

A full year tells a different story from one quarter. The same amount put into the stock a year ago is now down -10.8% through 2026-10-23, while the same amount in the market is up 14.4%. My reading: growth held up while the share price lagged, and that combination is what a lower looks like.

Glossary
trailing earnings
The profit a company has already reported over its most recent four quarters.
multiple
The share price divided by profit per share. A lower multiple means investors are paying less for each dollar of past profit.

Risks

  • Operating expenses held a GBTG sale gain and higher legal reserves; one-off items can flatter or dent a single quarter.
  • The peer basket is small and mixed, so a one-day comparison against it may say very little.
  • Few peers had usable earnings, so the valuation median rests on a thin base.

Sources

  1. SEC EDGAR XBRL companyfacts, AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY — data as of 2026-09-30; fetched 2026-10-25 15:52 UTC
  2. FinMind USStockPrice AXP — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
  3. FinMind USStockPrice BAC — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
  4. FinMind USStockPrice BRK-B — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
  5. FinMind USStockPrice JPM — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
  6. FinMind USStockPrice MA — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges
  7. FinMind USStockPrice V — data as of 2026-10-23; fetched 2026-10-25 17:13 UTC; License note: FinMind open data; original source TWSE/TPEx or US exchanges